Chapter 1 - Introduction

Chapter 2 - SSHAC Level 3 Assessment Process and Implementation

Table 2.2-1 Technical Meetings Conducted as Part of the CEUS-SSC Project

Table 2.2-2 Contributors to the CEUS-SSC Project

Chapter 3 - Earthquake Catalog

Table 3.2-1 Summary of Earthquakes Added–USGS Earthquake Catalog by Time Period

Table 3.2-2 Summary of Earthquakes Added–USGS Earthquake Catalog by Source

Table 3.3-1 Conversion Relationships Used–Develop Uniform Moment Magnitudes E[M]

Table 3.4-1 Comparison of CEUS-SSC Catalog Declustering Results Obtained Using the EPRI (1988) Approach with the Gardner Knopoff (1974) Approach

Table 3.5-1 Probability of Detection and Equivalent Periods of Completeness for the CEUS for Magnitude Weighting Case A

Table 3.5-2 Probability of Detection and Equivalent Periods of Completeness for the CEUS for Magnitude Weighting Case B

Table 3.5-3 Probability of Detection and Equivalent Periods of Completeness for the CEUS for Magnitude Weighting Case E

Chapter 4 - Conceptual Seismic Source Characterization Framework

Table 4.1.2-1 Sample table indicating particular types of data that can be considered in the identification and characterization of seismic sources (Table 2, ANSI/ANS-2.27­2008)

Table 4.1.2-2 Sample table identifying the types of data that can be considered for characterizing different types of seismic sources, and an evaluation of the relative usefulness or credibility of the various data types (Budnitz et al., 1997)

Table 4.1.2-3 Table showing the “generic” (not source-specific) evaluation of data to address indicators of a unique seismic source. The table indicates the TI Team’s assessment of the types of data that can be used to address the indicators and their relative usefulness

Table 4.1.2-4 Example of Data Evaluation Table for the Illinois Basin–Extended Basement Zone (IBEB)

Table 4.1.2-5 Example of Data Summary Table for the Extended Continental Crust–Atlantic Margin (ECC-AM) and Atlantic Highly Extended Crust (AHEX) Zones

Table 4.1.3-1 Criteria Used to Define the Seismotectonic Zones and Mmax Zones

Table 4.2.2-1 RLME Sources

Table 4.2.4-1 Seismotectonic Zones

Chapter 5 - SSC Model: Overview and Methodology

Table 5.2.1-1 Mesozoic-and-Younger Extended Superdomains (MESE)

Table 5.2.1-2 Older Extended and Non-Extended Superdomains (NMESE)

Table 5.2.1-3 Composite SCR Superdomains (COMP)

Table 5.2.1-4 Results of Analyses of Updated SCR Superdomains

Table 5.2.1-5 Source Zones, P(mu > 8¼) Values, and Weights on Kijko (2004) K-S-B Estimates

Table 5.2.1-6 Mmax Distributions for the Two Example Seismic Sources

Table 5.3.2-1 Alternative Cases Considered for the Magnitude-Dependent Weights

Table 5.3.3-1 Miller and Rice (1983) Discrete 5-Point Approximation to a Continuous Probability Distribution and the Modified Form Used in This Study

Table 5.4-1 Assessment of Default Characteristics of Future Earthquakes in the CEUS

Table 5.4-2 Characteristics of Future Earthquakes for Individual Seismic Sources

Table 5.4-3 Estimates of D90 for Individual Seismic Source Zones

Chapter 6 - SSC Model: RLME Sources and Mmax Zones Branch

Table 6.1-1 Summary of Data Used to Assess RLME Recurrence Frequencies

Table 6.1.1-1 Charlevoix RLME Recurrence Frequency

Table 6.1.2-1 Summary of Interpreted Charleston Earthquake Ages and Sizes from “Contemporary Ages Only” Scenario

Table 6.1.2-2 Summary of Interpreted Charleston Earthquake Ages and Sizes from “All Ages” Scenario

Table 6.1.2-3 Charleston Liquefaction Feature Ages Used to Assess Ages of Prehistoric Earthquakes

Table 6.1.2-4 Charleston RLME Recurrence Frequency for Poisson Model

Table 6.1.2-5 Charleston RLME Recurrence Frequency for Renewal Model

Table 6.1.3-1 Range of Cheraw Fault Estimated Magnitudes (M)

Table 6.1.3-2 Cheraw RLME In-Cluster Recurrence Frequency

Table 6.1.3-3 Cheraw RLME In-Cluster Slip Rates

Table 6.1.3-4 Cheraw RLME Out-of-Cluster Recurrence Frequency

Table 6.1.3-5 Cheraw RLME Out-of-Cluster Slip Rates

Table 6.1.4-1 Range of Estimated Meers Fault Earthquake Magnitudes (M)

Table 6.1.4-2 Meers RLME In-Cluster Recurrence Frequency

Table 6.1.4-3 Meers RLME Out-of-Cluster Recurrence Frequency

Table 6.1.5-1 Preferred Ages for Paleoearthquakes in the New Madrid Region1 

Table 6.1.5-2 Magnitude Comparisons for New Madrid 1811-1812 Earthquake Sequence

Table 6.1.5-3 Liquefaction Constraints on Age of AD 1450 NMFS RLME

Table 6.1.5-4 Liquefaction Constraints on Age of AD 900 NMFS RLME

Table 6.1.5-5 NMFS In-Cluster RLME Recurrence Frequency-Poisson Model

Table 6.1.5-6 NMFS In-Cluster RLME Recurrence Frequency-Renewal Model

Table 6.1.5-7 NMFS Out-of-Cluster RLME Recurrence Frequency-Poisson Model

Table 6.1.6-1 Range of ERM-S Estimated Magnitudes (M)

Table 6.1.6-2 Range of ERM-N Estimated Magnitudes (M)

Table 6.1.6-3 ERM-S RLME Recurrence Frequency

Table 6.1.6-4 ERM-N RLME Recurrence Frequency

Table 6.1.7-1 Marianna RLME Recurrence Frequency

Table 6.1.8-1 Range of Commerce Fault Zone RLME Estimated Magnitudes (M)

Table 6.1.8-2 Commerce Fault Zone RLME Recurrence Frequency

Table 6.1.9-1 Liquefaction Evidence for Prehistoric Earthquakes in the Southern Illinois Basin

Table 6.1.9-2 Wabash RLME Recurrence Frequency

Table 6.2-1 Alternative Mmax Zonation Models

Table 6.3.2-1 Maximum Magnitude Distributions for Mmax Distributed Seismicity Sources

Chapter 7 - SSC Model: Seismotectonic Zones Branch

Table 7.1-1 Data Summary and Data Evaluation Tables for Seismotectonic Zones in Appendices C and D

Table 7.4.2-1 Maximum Magnitude Distributions for Seismotectonic Distributed Seismicity Sources

Chapter 8 - Demonstration Hazard Calculations

Table 8.1-1 Description of Seven Test Sites

Table 8.2.1-1 Mean and Select Fractiles for Rock Hazard at Central Illinois: Digital Data for Figures 8.2-1a through 8.2-1c

Table 8.2.2-1 Mean and Select Fractiles for Rock Hazard at Chattanooga: Digital Data for Figures 8.2-2a through 8.2-2c

Table 8.2.3-1 Mean and Select Fractiles for Rock Hazard at Houston: Digital Data for Figures 8.2-3a through 8.2-3c

Table 8.2.4-1 Mean and Select Fractiles for Rock Hazard at Jackson: Digital Data for Figures 8.2-4a through 8.2-4c

Table 8.2.5-1 Mean and Select Fractiles for Rock Hazard at Manchester: Digital Data for Figures 8.2-5a through 8.2-5c

Table 8.2.6-1 Mean and Select Fractiles for Rock Hazard at Savannah: Digital Data for Figures 8.2-6a through 8.2-6c

Table 8.2.7-1 Mean and Select Fractiles for Rock Hazard at Topeka: Digital Data for Figures 8.2-7a through 8.2-7c

Chapter 9 - Use of the CEUS-SSC Model in PSHA

Table 9.4-1 Available Information for Determining the Precision of Mean Hazard

Table 9.4-2 Summary of an Example Logic Tree Representing Uncertainties for the Charleston Seismic Zone

Table 9.4-3 Basic Weights Given in EPRI (2004) for Ground Motion Equations

Table 9.4-4 Ground Motion Equations and Weights Used in USGS 2008 National Hazard Map for CEUS 9-23 9.4-5 Minimum COV_MH Values Observed in Seismic Hazard

Table 9.4-5 Minimum COV_MH Values Observed in Seismic Hazard

Chapter 10 - References

Chapter 11 - Glossary of Key Terms

Appendix A - Description of the CEUS-SSC Project Database

Table A-1 CEUS-SSC GIS Database

Appendix B - Appendix Earthquake Catalog Database

Table B-1 Earthquake Catalog

Table B-2 Moment Magnitude Data

Table B-3 Approximate Moment Magnitude Data

Appendix C - Data Evaluation Tables

Table C-5.4 Data Evaluation Future Earthquake Characteristics

Table C-6.1.1 Data Evaluation Charlevoix RLME

Table C-6.1.2 Data Evaluation Charleston RLME

Table C-6.1.3 Data Evaluation Cheraw Fault RLME

Table C-6.1.4 Data Evaluation Oklahoma Aulacogen RLME

Table C-6.1.5 Data Evaluation Reelfoot Rift–New Madrid Fault System RLMEs

Table C-6.1.6 Data Evaluation Reelfoot Rift–Eastern Margin Fault(s) RLMEs

Table C-6.1.7 Data Evaluation Reelfoot Rift–Marianna RLME

Table C-6.1.8 Data Evaluation Reelfoot Rift–Commerce Fault Zone RLME

Table C-6.1.9 Data Evaluation Wabash Valley RLME

Table C-7.3.1 Data Evaluation St. Lawrence Rift Zone 

Table C-7.3.2 Data Evaluation Great Meteor Hotspot Zone

Table C-7.3.3 Data Evaluation Northern Appalachian Zone

Table C-7.3.4 Data Evaluation Paleozoic Extended Crust Zone

Table C-7.3.5 Data Evaluation Illinois Basin-Extended Basement Zone

Table C-7.3.6 Data Evaluation Reelfoot Rift Zone

Tables C-7.3.7/7.3.8 Data Evaluation Extended Continental Crust-Atlantic

Tables C-7.3.9/7.3.10 Data Evaluation Extended Continental Crust–Gulf Coast 

Table C-7.3.12 Data Evaluation Midcontinent-Craton Zone 

Appendix D - Data Summary Tables

Table D-5.4 Data Summary Future Earthquake Characteristics

Table D-6.1.1 Data Summary Charlevoix RLME

Table D-6.1.2 Data Summary Charleston RLME

Table D-6.1.3 Data Summary Cheraw Fault RLME

Table D-6.1.4 Data Summary Oklahoma Aulacogen RLME

Table D-6.1.5 Data Summary Reelfoot Rift–New Madrid Seismic Zone (NMSZ) Region

Table D-6.1.9 Data Summary Wabash Valley RLME

Table D-7.3.1 Data Summary St. Lawrence Rift Zone (SLR)

Table D-7.3.2 Data Summary Great Meteor Hotspot Zone (GMH)

Table D-7.3.3 Data Summary Northern Appalachian Zone (NAP)

Table D-7.3.4 Data Summary Paleozoic Extended Crust Zone

Table D-7.3.7 Data Summary Extended Continental Crust Zone–Atlantic Margin (ECC­AM)

Table D-7.3.9 Data Summary Extended Continental Crust Zone–Gulf Coast (ECC-GC)

Table D-7.3.12 Data Summary Midcontinent-Craton Zone (MidC)

Appendix E - CEUS Paleoliquefaction Database

Table E-1.2-1. Summary of Information on Liquefaction Features in Regional Data Sets

Table E-1.2-2 Summary of Type and Prevalence of Paleoliquefaction Features

Table E-2.1.3. Summary of Dating Techniques Used in Paleoliquefaction Studies

Table E-2.2. Uncertainties Related to Interpretation of Paleoearthquake Parameters

Appendix F - Workshop Summaries

Table 1: Key Questions and Topics That Workshop 2 Presenters Were Asked to Address

Appendix G - Biographies of Project Team

Appendix H - CEUS-SSC Model Hazard Input Document (HID)

Table H-3-1 Weighted Alternative Seismogenic Crustal Thickness Values for Mmax Zones

Table H-3-2 Aleatory Distributions for Characterization of Future Earthquake Ruptures for Mmax Zones

Table H-3-3 Maximum Magnitude Distributions for Mmax Distributed Seismicity Sources

Table H-4-1 Seismotectonic Source Zones

Table H-4-2 Weighted Alternative Seismogenic Crustal Thickness Values for Seismotectonic Zones

Table H-4-3 Aleatory Distributions for Characterization of Future Earthquake Ruptures for Seismotectonic Zones

Table H-4-4 Maximum Magnitude Distributions for Seismotectonic Distributed Seismicity Sources

Table H-5.1-1 Charlevoix RLME Magnitude Distribution

Table H-5.1-2 Annual Frequencies for Charlevoix RLME Events Data Set 1: 1870 and 1663

Table H-5.1-3 Annual Frequencies for Charlevoix RLME Events Data Set 2: 3 Earthquakes in 6–7 kyr BP

Table H-5.1-4 Annual Frequencies for Charlevoix RLME Events Data Set 3: 4 Earthquakes in 9.5–10.2 kyr BP

Table H-5.2-1 Charleston RLME Magnitude Distribution

Table H-5.2-2 Annual Frequencies for Charleston RLME Events Poisson Model, 2,000­Year Time Period Earthquakes 1886, A, B, and C

Table H-5.2-3 Annual Frequencies for Charleston RLME Events Poisson Model, 5,500­Year Time Period Earthquakes 1886, A, B, and C

Table H-5.2-4 Annual Frequencies for Charleston RLME Events Poisson Model, 5,500­Year Time Period Earthquakes 1886, A, B, C, and D

Table H-5.2-5 Annual Frequencies for Charleston RLME Events Poisson Model, 5,500­Year Time Period Earthquakes 1886, A, B, C, and E

Table H-5.2-6 Annual Frequencies for Charleston RLME Events Poisson Model, 5,500­Year Time Period Earthquakes 1886, A, B, C, D, and E

Table H-5.2-7 Annual Frequencies for Charleston RLME Events BPT Renewal Model, a = 0.3, 2,000-Year Time Period Earthquakes 1886, A, B, and C

Table H-5.2-8 Annual Frequencies for Charleston RLME Events BPT Renewal Model, a = 0.5, 2,000-Year Time Period Earthquakes 1886, A, B, and C

Table H-5.2-9 Annual Frequencies for Charleston RLME Events BPT Renewal Model, a = 0.7, 2,000-Year Time Period Earthquakes 1886, A, B, and C

Table H-5.2-10 Annual Frequencies for Charleston RLME Events BPT Renewal Model, a = 0.3, 5,500-Year Time Period Earthquakes 1886, A, B, and C

Table H-5.2-11 Annual Frequencies for Charleston RLME Events BPT Renewal Model, a = 0.5, 5,500-Year Time Period Earthquakes 1886, A, B, and C

Table H-5.2-12 Annual Frequencies for Charleston RLME Events BPT Renewal Model, a = 0.7, 5,500-Year Time Period Earthquakes 1886, A, B, and C

Table H-5.2-13 Annual Frequencies for Charleston RLME Events BPT Renewal Model, a = 0.3, 5,500-Year Time Period Earthquakes 1886, A, B, C, and D

Table H-5.2-14 Annual Frequencies for Charleston RLME Events BPT Renewal Model, a = 0.5, 5,500-Year Time Period Earthquakes 1886, A, B, C, and D

Table H-5.2-15 Annual Frequencies for Charleston RLME Events BPT Renewal Model, a = 0.7, 5,500-Year Time Period Earthquakes 1886, A, B, C, and D

Table H-5.2-16 Annual Frequencies for Charleston RLME Events BPT Renewal Model, a = 0.3, 5,500-Year Time Period Earthquakes 1886, A, B, C, and E

Table H-5.2-17 Annual Frequencies for Charleston RLME Events BPT Renewal Model, a = 0.5, 5,500-Year Time Period Earthquakes 1886, A, B, C, and E

Table H-5.2-18 Annual Frequencies for Charleston RLME Events BPT Renewal Model, a = 0.7, 5,500-Year Time Period Earthquakes 1886, A, B, C, and E

Table H-5.2-19 Annual Frequencies for Charleston RLME Events BPT Renewal Model, a = 0.3, 5,500-Year Time Period Earthquakes 1886, A, B, C, D, and E

Table H-5.2-20 Annual Frequencies for Charleston RLME Events BPT Renewal Model, a = 0.5, 5,500-Year Time Period Earthquakes 1886, A, B, C, D, and E

Table H-5.2-21 Annual Frequencies for Charleston RLME Events BPT Renewal Model, a = 0.7, 5,500-Year Time Period Earthquakes 1886, A, B, C, D, and E

Table H-5.3-1 Cheraw RLME Magnitude Distribution

Table H-5.3-2 Annual Frequencies for Cheraw RLME Events In-Cluster Case, Data Set: 2 Earthquakes in 20–25 kyr

Table H-5.3-3 Annual Frequencies for Cheraw RLME Events In-Cluster Case, Data Set: 3 Earthquakes in 20–25 kyr

Table H-5.3-4 Slip Rates for Cheraw Fault In-Cluster Case, Data Set: 3.2–4.1 m in 20– 25 kyr

Table H-5.3-5 Annual Frequencies for Cheraw RLME Events Out-of-Cluster Case, Time Between Clusters

Table H-5.3-6 Slip Rates for Cheraw Fault Out-of-Cluster Case, Data Set: 7–8 m in 0.4–2.0 myr

Table H-5.4-1 Meers RLME Magnitude Distribution

Table H-5.4-2 Annual Frequencies for Meers RLME Events In-Cluster Case

Table H-5.4-3 Annual Frequencies for Meers RLME Events Out-of-Cluster Case

Table H-5.5-1 NMFS RLME Magnitude Distribution

Table H-5.5-2 Annual Frequencies for NMFS RLME Events In-Cluster Case, Poisson Model

Table H-5.5-3 Annual Frequencies for NMFS RLME Events In-Cluster Case, BPT Model, α = 0.3

Table H-5.5-4 Annual Frequencies for NMFS RLME Events In-Cluster Case, BPT Model, α= 0.5

Table H-5.5-5 Annual Frequencies for NMFS RLME Events In-Cluster Case, BPT Model, α = 0.7

Table H-5.5-6 Annual Frequencies for NMFS RLME Events Out-of-Cluster Case, Poisson Model

Table H-5.6-1 ERM-S RLME Magnitude Distribution

Table H-5.6-2 ERM-N RLME Magnitude Distribution

Table H-5.6-3 Annual Frequencies for ERM-S RLME Events Data Set: 2 Earthquakes in 17.7–21.7 kyr

Table H-5.6-4 Annual Frequencies for ERM-S RLME Events Data Set: 3 Earthquakes in 17.7–21.7 kyr

Table H-5.6-5 Annual Frequencies for ERM-S RLME Events Data Set: 4 Earthquakes in 17.7–21.7 kyr

Table H-5.6-6 Annual Frequencies for ERM-N RLME Events Data Set: 1 Earthquake in 12–35 kyr

Table H-5.6-7 Annual Frequencies for ERM-N RLME Events Data Set: 2 Earthquakes in 12–35 kyr

Table H-5.7-1 Marianna RLME Magnitude Distribution

Table H-5.7-2 Annual Frequencies for Marianna RLME Events Data Set: 3 Earthquakes in 9.6–10.2 kyr

Table H-5.7-3 Annual Frequencies for Marianna RLME Events Data Set: 4 Earthquakes in 9.6–10.2 kyr

Table H-5.8-1 Commerce RLME Magnitude Distribution

Table H-5.8-2 Annual Frequencies for Commerce RLME Events Data Set: 2 Earthquakes in 18.9–23.6 kyr

Table H-5.8-3 Annual Frequencies for Commerce RLME Events Data Set: 3 Earthquakes in 18.9–23.6 kyr

Table H-5.9-1 Wabash RLME Magnitude Distribution

Table H-5.9-2 Annual Frequencies for Wabash RLME Events Data Set: 2 Earthquakes in 11–13 kyr

Appendix I - Correspondence Contents

PPRP Comment Response Table (Appendix I)

Appendix J - Magnitude-Recurrence Maps for all Realization and All Source-Zone Configuration

Appendix K - SCR Database Used to Develop Mmax Prior Distributions

Table K-1 SCR Earthquake Catalog

Table K-2 SCR Domains Updated from Johnston et al. (1994)

Appendix L - Quality Assurance